Jamaica still has A TROPICAL STORM WARNING in effect

 Jamaica still has A TROPICAL STORM WARNING in effect 

At 10:00 p.m. the center of Tropical Storm Elsa was located near Latitude 17.9 degrees North, Longitude 75.3 degrees West, or about 97 kilometers (60 miles) east of Morant Point, Jamaica. 

Elsa is now moving towards the west-northwest near 28 km/h (17 mph), and an additional decrease in forwarding speed is expected tonight and on Sunday, followed by a turn towards the northwest on Sunday night or Monday.

On the prediction track, Elsa will move away from the southwestern peninsula of Haiti closer to Jamaica tonight and on Sunday morning, and over portions of eastern Cuba later on Sunday.  By Monday, Elsa is anticipated to move across central and western Cuba.
 
The highest sustained winds have reduced to near 100 km/h (65 mph), with higher gusts.  Little change in strength is outlook until Sunday afternoon when some slight strengthening is possible as Elsa approaches the south-central coast of Cuba. 

Continuous weakening is forecast on Sunday night and Monday while Elsa is required to move over Cuba.  Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 km (125 miles) mainly to the north of the center.

Weather conditions over Jamaica have already begun to deteriorate with Elsa’s outer band building showers and downpours over sections of mainly eastern parishes.  Rainfall is expected to spread across most parishes tonight and on Sunday morning as the center of the tropical storm moves closer to the island.  Flash flooding is likely in low-lying and flood-prone areas throughout the night with 75-150 millimeters (3-6 inches) of rainfall in the prediction.

Strong winds, reaching near tropical storm force, are also expected as Elsa remains close to Jamaica for at least the next 6-12 hours.  These will generate 1-metre (3-foot) storm surges along with coastal areas of northeastern areas.

Small craft operators, including fishers from the cays and banks, are reminded to remain in the safe harbor until all warning messages have been lifted and sea conditions have returned to normal.

The Meteorological Service continues to monitor the progress of this system and all interests must pay special attention to further Releases. 

The next Bulletin on Tropical Storm Elsa will be issued at 2:00 a.m. on Sunday.


For further information, please dial 116.
See also this website:  http://metservice.gov.jm
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